Assuming this is when both are at their strongest, Bill is likely to be more powerful. Now, it’s likely that Ultron would get a few good hits in before Bill starts to take him seriously, but given how advanced Bill’s powers are, I don’t imagine him losing. Since Ultron has the mind stone, Bill might actually be able to go into his mind and pull a Zola on him, or maybe he could deactivate the infinity stones entirely, or some other thing that makes use of the fact that his reality warping is superior to Ultron’s.